Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Conference USA
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#339
Expected Predictive Rating-15.4#343
Pace77.8#36
Improvement+2.8#67

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#295
First Shot-3.6#277
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#275
Layup/Dunks-1.3#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#214
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement-0.4#204

Defense
Total Defense-8.8#346
First Shot-9.2#350
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#137
Layups/Dunks-2.1#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#333
Freethrows-2.6#328
Improvement+3.2#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 175   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-76 8%     0 - 1 -9.8 -7.5 -1.9
  Nov 15, 2015 48   @ Clemson L 45-78 1%     0 - 2 -19.6 -18.7 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2015 43   @ Creighton L 78-103 1%     0 - 3 -11.4 -0.7 -6.8
  Nov 21, 2015 342   @ Southern Utah W 82-79 41%     1 - 3 -8.5 +5.0 -13.4
  Nov 23, 2015 327   Central Arkansas L 84-98 44%     1 - 4 -26.2 +0.3 -26.1
  Nov 25, 2015 186   Texas Southern L 80-91 13%     1 - 5 -12.5 -8.0 -2.7
  Dec 02, 2015 219   @ Texas St. L 53-76 11%     1 - 6 -23.6 -18.7 -4.7
  Dec 08, 2015 30   @ Texas L 50-116 1%     1 - 7 -50.3 -22.0 -18.9
  Dec 12, 2015 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 79-85 17%     1 - 8 -9.8 +1.3 -10.7
  Dec 19, 2015 282   Utah Valley L 78-83 39%     1 - 9 -15.8 -5.8 -9.7
  Dec 22, 2015 204   Cal Poly L 73-88 22%     1 - 10 -20.7 -11.9 -7.5
  Jan 01, 2016 290   North Texas L 66-70 41%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -15.4 -18.6 +3.6
  Jan 03, 2016 277   Rice W 85-80 37%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -5.4 -6.1 +0.1
  Jan 07, 2016 117   @ UAB L 82-104 4%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -15.9 +7.5 -22.3
  Jan 09, 2016 130   @ Middle Tennessee L 71-79 5%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -2.7 +2.1 -4.8
  Jan 16, 2016 222   UTEP W 71-67 24%     3 - 13 2 - 3 -2.5 -12.7 +9.8
  Jan 21, 2016 236   Florida International L 56-72 27%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -23.5 -21.4 -2.1
  Jan 23, 2016 301   Florida Atlantic L 71-86 44%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -27.1 -6.4 -20.6
  Jan 28, 2016 161   @ Louisiana Tech L 75-85 7%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -7.0 -0.2 -6.3
  Jan 30, 2016 302   @ Southern Miss L 70-86 24%     3 - 17 2 - 7 -22.3 -7.0 -15.0
  Feb 04, 2016 181   Western Kentucky L 71-83 18%     3 - 18 2 - 8 -15.9 -12.0 -3.0
  Feb 06, 2016 150   Marshall L 91-109 14%     3 - 19 2 - 9 -20.1 -4.3 -12.3
  Feb 11, 2016 301   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-79 24%     3 - 20 2 - 10 -12.3 -1.9 -10.4
  Feb 13, 2016 236   @ Florida International L 65-79 13%     3 - 21 2 - 11 -15.6 -6.4 -9.9
  Feb 18, 2016 161   Louisiana Tech L 74-87 15%     3 - 22 2 - 12 -15.8 -8.9 -5.4
  Feb 20, 2016 302   Southern Miss W 74-53 44%     4 - 22 3 - 12 +8.8 +1.6 +9.0
  Feb 25, 2016 195   @ Charlotte L 108-114 2OT 9%     4 - 23 3 - 13 -5.2 +8.9 -12.7
  Feb 27, 2016 118   @ Old Dominion L 56-78 4%     4 - 24 3 - 14 -16.0 -11.4 -4.9
  Mar 05, 2016 222   @ UTEP L 74-81 11%     4 - 25 3 - 15 -7.6 -5.6 -1.5
  Mar 08, 2016 301   Florida Atlantic L 58-82 33%     4 - 26 -33.2 -15.2 -19.0
Projected Record 4.0 - 26.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%